Graded in public
Every forward-looking call Hikma publishes is scored when it comes due, including the ones that were wrong. This page is open to everyone.
0Calls graded
—Brier score
2Issues published
When Hikma says 60%, does it happen 60% of the time?
A forecast is only worth anything if its stated confidence matches reality. The closer these two columns are, the better calibrated the research is.
No call has come due yet. The first calls resolve four weeks after the first issue.
Brier score measures forecast accuracy: lower is better, and always guessing 50% would score 0.250.
Every issue
| No. | Published | Fingerprint |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Oct 6, 2026 | 5fe3414fc4f347cbd09513fd… |
| 1 | Sep 13, 2026 | 5ac6eefd1cd755b558f56571… |